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Home > Technology > Engineering > Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty

Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty

by Hill, Mary C. / Tiedeman, Claire R.
 
 
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Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty
Methods and guidelines for developing and using mathematical models

Turn to Effective Groundwater Model Calibration for a set of methods and guidelines that can help produce more accurate and transparent mathematical models. The models can represent groundwater flow and transport and other natural and engineered systems. Use this book and its extensive exercises to learn methods to fully exploit the data on hand, maximize the model's potential, and troubleshoot any problems that arise. Use the methods to perform:

  • Sensitivity analysis to evaluate the information content of data
  • Data assessment to identify (a) existing measurements that dominate model development and predictions and (b) potential measurements likely to improve the reliability of predictions
  • Calibration to develop models that are consistent with the data in an optimal manner
  • Uncertainty evaluation to quantify and communicate errors in simulated results that are often used to make important societal decisions

Most of the methods are based on linear and nonlinear regression theory.

Fourteen guidelines show the reader how to use the methods advantageously in practical situations.

Exercises focus on a groundwater flow system and management problem, enabling readers to apply all the methods presented in the text. The exercises can be completed using the material provided in the book, or as hands-on computer exercises using instructions and files available on the text's accompanying Web site.

Throughout the book, the authors stress the need for valid statistical concepts and easily understood presentation methods required to achieve well-tested, transparent models. Most of the examples and all of the exercises focus on simulating groundwater systems; other examples come from surface-water hydrology and geophysics.

The methods and guidelines in the text are broadly applicable and can be used by students, researchers, and engineers to simulate many kinds systems.


Title of ebook: Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty
ISBN: 9780470041079
parent-ISBN: 9780471776369
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
Internet download file size: 9108 kb
Pages: 455
Published: 03-2007
Released online for download: 03-07-2007
Author of eBook: Hill, Mary C.
Author of eBook: Tiedeman, Claire R.
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Effective Groundwater Model Calibration

With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty

Chapter One

INTRODUCTION

In many fields of science and engineering, mathematical models are used to represent complex processes and results are used for system management and risk analysis. The methods commonly used to develop and apply such models often do not take full advantage of either the data available for model construction and calibration or the developed model. This book presents a set of methods and guidelines that, it is hoped, will improve how data and models are used.

This introductory chapter first describes the contributions of the book, including a description of what is on the associated web site. Sections 1.2 and 1.3 provide some context for the book by reviewing inverse modeling and considering the methods covered by the book relative to other paradigms for integrating data and models. After providing a few definitions, Chapter 1 concludes with a discussion of the expertise readers are expected to possess and some suggested read ... read full excerpt from Effective Groundwater Model Calibration: With Analysis of Data, Sensitivities, Predictions, and Uncertainty ebook



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