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Home > Education > Mathematics > Probability & Statistics - General > Probability & Statistics - Bayesian Analysis > Reliability and Risk: A Bayesian Perspective-eBook
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Reliability and Risk: A Bayesian Perspective
"We all like to know how reliable and how risky certain situations are, and our increasing reliance on technology has led to the need for more precise assessments than ever before. Such precision has resulted in efforts both to sharpen the notions of risk and reliability, and to quantify them. Quantification is required for normative decision-making, especially decisions pertaining to our safety and wellbeing. Increasingly in recent years, particularly with the introduction of MCMC, Bayesian methods have become key to such quantifications.

Reliability and Risk provides a comprehensive overview of the mathematical and statistical aspects of risk and reliability analysis, from a Bayesian perspective. This book sets out to change the way in which we think about reliability and survival analysis by casting them in the broader context of risk analysis. This is achieved by:

  • Providing a broad coverage of the diverse aspects of reliability, including: multivariate failure models, dynamic reliability, event history analysis, non-parametric Bayes, competing risks, co-operative and competing systems, and signature analysis.
  • Covering the essentials of Bayesian statistics and exchangeability, enabling readers who are unfamiliar with Bayesian inference to benefit from the book.
  • Introducing the notion of “composite reliability”, or the collective reliability of a population of items.
  • Discussing the relationship between notions of reliability and survival analysis and econometrics and financial risk.
  • Featuring numerous worked examples, applications and case studies using real data from the author’s experience.

Reliability and Risk can most profitably be used by practitioners and research workers in reliability and survivability as a source of information, reference, and open problems. It can also form the basis of a graduate level course in reliability and risk analysis for students in statistics, biostatistics, engineering (industrial, nuclear, systems), operations research, and other mathematically oriented scientists, wherein the instructor could supplement the material with examples and problems."

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Title of ebook: Reliability and Risk: A Bayesian Perspective
ISBN: 9780470060339
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Internet download file size: 3111 kb
Pages: 396
Released online for download: 08-14-2006
Author of eBook: Singpurwalla, Nozer D.

Reliability and Risk

A Bayesian Perspective

Chapter One

Introduction and Overview

G.H. Hardy: Here lies Hardy, with no apologies.

1.1 PREAMBLE: WHAT DO 'RELIABILITY', 'RISK' AND 'ROBUSTNESS' MEAN?

Words such as 'credibility', 'hazard', 'integrity', 'reliability', 'risk', 'robustness' and 'survivability' have now become very much a part of our daily vocabulary. For instance, the derogatory term unreliable is used to describe the undependable behavior of an individual or an item, whereas the cautionary term risky is used to warn of possible exposure to an adverse consequence. The term survival is generally used in biomedical contexts and is intended to convey the possibility of overcoming a life-threatening situation or a disease. Robustness encapsulates the feature of the persistence of some attribute in the presence of ... read full excerpt from Reliability and Risk: A Bayesian Perspective ebook



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  • Probability & Statistics - Bayesian Analysis
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