Welcome,
New User!
New User!
Understanding Uncertainty
By: Dennis V. LindleyeBook Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Imprint: Wiley-Interscience
Format: Adobe Encrypted (DRM)
Earn $0.50 - Write a Review »
Our Price
$79.99
Reward Money:
$0.00
" This book discusses, in simplistic detail, the logic of uncertainty, its truths and falsehoods. The object of the book is to explain what has been accomplished in the twentieth century about uncertainty. Given that there are three rules to obey, craftily laid out in the book, author Dennis Lindley rationalizes that any study of the topic can be handled with as much confidence as ordinary logic. Understanding Uncertainty equips readers with the skill to appreciate an uncertain situation and judge whether another person, lawyer, politician, scientist, or journalist is talking sense, posing the right questions, or obtaining sound answers. Some mathematical maturity is helpful. "
Share your thoughts on the Understanding Uncertainty Education eBook with others!
| Title of eBook: Understanding Uncertainty | |
| Release Date: 12-22-2006 | |
| Publisher: Wiley-Interscience |
This eBook download is available in the following formats:
| Parent title | Understanding Uncertainty |
|---|---|
| Encrypted (DRM) | Yes |
| SKU | 9780470055472 |
| File size | 4751 |
| Security | n/a |
| Printing | Not allowed |
| Copying | Not allowed |
| Read aloud | No Sys requirements Download reader |
| Devices | Samsung Tablet, Apple Ipad & Iphone, Barnes & Noble Nook, Kobo eReader, Aluratek Libre, Iliad, Nokia, Blackberry, Hanlin |
| Note | Excellent navigation features are available via Adobe such as bookmarks and a quick access table of contents. Text search is easily accessible. An Adobe DRM-protected file is different than a pdf file in that it uses Adobe DRM (Digital Rights Management) technology, which authors and publishers use to protect their content from illegal online distribution and to set certain privileges such as restrictions on copying and printing. |
Understanding Uncertainty
Chapter One
Uncertainty
1.1. INTRODUCTION
There are some statements that you know to be true, others that you know to be false, but with the majority of statements you do not know whether they are true or false; we say that, for you, these statements are uncertain. This book is about understanding uncertainty in this sense, about handling it and, above all, about helping you to live comfortably with uncertainty so that you can better cope with it in your everyday life.
There are two comments that need to be made immediately. The first arises from the fact that the set of statements that you know to be true differs from my set, for you know things that I do not. Equally, things that are uncertain for you may be known to me; but there is more to it than that, for if we take a statement about which we are both uncertain, you may have more confidence that it is true than I do; we differ in our degrees of uncertainty. The upshot of these considerations is that uncertainty is a personal matter; it is not the uncertainty but your uncertainty. Admittedly there are some situations where almost all agree on the uncertainty but these are rare and confined to special scenarios, like some aspects of gambling. Statements of uncertainty are personalistic, they belong to the person making them and express a relationship between that person and the real world about which a statement is being made. In particular, they are not objective in the sense that they express a property that is the same for all of us. It follows that throughout this book we will be referring to a person, conveniently cal
...
