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United States: Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation - Detailed Assessment of Implementation of the IOSCO Objectives and Pr
By: International Monetary FundImprint: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Format: Adobe Encrypted (DRM)
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Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper finds that: consensus forecasts are inefficient as predicted; this is not due to individual forecaster irrationality; forecasters appear unaware of this inefficiency; and a simple adjustment reduces forecast errors by 5 percent. Similar results are found using US nominal GDP forecasts. The paper also discusses the result's implications for users of forecaster surveys and for the literature on information aggregation.
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| Title of Business & Economics eBook: United States: Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation - Detailed Assessment of Implementation of the IOSCO Objectives and Pr | |
| Release Date: 06-30-2006 | |
| Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND |
This eBook download is available in the following formats:
| Parent title | United States: Publication of... |
|---|---|
| Encrypted (DRM) | Yes |
| SKU | 9781455206667 |
| File size | 959 |
| Security | n/a |
| Printing | Not allowed |
| Copying | Not allowed |
| Read aloud | No Sys requirements Download reader |
| Devices | Samsung Tablet, Apple Ipad & Iphone, Barnes & Noble Nook, Kobo eReader, Aluratek Libre, Iliad, Nokia, Blackberry, Hanlin |
| Note | Excellent navigation features are available via Adobe such as bookmarks and a quick access table of contents. Text search is easily accessible. An Adobe DRM-protected file is different than a pdf file in that it uses Adobe DRM (Digital Rights Management) technology, which authors and publishers use to protect their content from illegal online distribution and to set certain privileges such as restrictions on copying and printing. |








